MLB / mlb / live
TBR 6 / TEX 8TBRTampa Bay Rays57%
TEXTexas Rangers43%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterIan SeymourConfirmed
Model pickTBR moneyline57%Model 20260831_auto
TEXHome starterMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
TBR57%ML -110
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
TEX43%ML -106
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.7
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ian SeymourTBR starter / away
Projected K6.4Actual 2 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -120 betmgm / U +118 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.594%under
O 3.587%under
O 4.575%under
O 5.560%under
O 6.545%under
O 7.532%under
O 8.520%under
O 9.512%under
O 10.57%under
O 11.54%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
MacKenzie GoreTEX starter / home
Projected K5.1Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -149 betonlineag / U +123 draftkings3 books at this line
Model over 4.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%under
O 2.587%under
O 3.573%under
O 4.556%under
O 5.540%under
O 6.525%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-110 / -106TBR / TEX moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-176)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total