Results

Pick tracking by window, sport, and probability.

Review graded picks, pending games, and probability-bucket win rates across MLB/NHL moneyline and Soccer 1X2.

2026-07-04 to 2026-07-10

Range

Yesterday 3D 7D 14D 30D Lifetime

Sport

Market

Moneyline Props

Record36-4581 graded / 16 pending

Actual Win Rate44.4%0 pushes / 0 voids

Avg Pick Probability55.4%Expected wins: 44.9

Calibration Gap-11.0 ptsActual win rate minus avg probability

MLB Moneyline

Probability Buckets

50.0%-52.5%5-4 / small sample

55.6%avg 50.8%

+4.8 pts9 picks

52.5%-55.0%15-14

51.7%avg 53.0%

-1.3 pts29 picks

55.0%-57.5%5-17

22.7%avg 56.1%

-33.4 pts22 picks

57.5%-60.0%5-7

41.7%avg 58.3%

-16.6 pts12 picks

60.0%-62.5%5-2 / small sample

71.4%avg 61.0%

+10.4 pts7 picks

65.0%-70.0%1-1 / small sample

50.0%avg 66.5%

-16.5 pts2 picks

MLB moneyline overlay

AI Analyst Results

AI Analyst Record26-1137 graded / 0 pending

AI Analyst Win Rate70.3%37 tracked picks

Same-Game Compare19-6Analyst won/model lost vs analyst lost/model won

Model Flips246 away from wins / 18 away from losses

Agreement

Agrees with base model7-6

53.8%13 graded

Disagrees with base model19-5

79.2%24 graded

Confidence Labels

Strong2 tracked / small sample

50.0%1-1

Standard6 tracked / small sample

66.7%4-2

Lean29 tracked

72.4%21-8

Rank Bands

Rank 16 tracked / small sample

66.7%4-2

Ranks 2-312 tracked

66.7%8-4

Ranks 4-511 tracked

81.8%9-2

Rank 6+8 tracked / small sample

62.5%5-3

Same-Game Outcomes

AI Analyst win rate70.3%

Base model win rate35.1%

Both won / both lost7 / 5

Compared games37

LAA @ TEXJul 9, 6:05 PM MDT / lean / rank 6

AI Analyst: LAA moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: TEX moneyline59.8%

LostModel Won

MIL @ STLJul 9, 5:45 PM MDT / lean / rank 3

AI Analyst: MIL moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: MIL moneyline51.5%

WonModel Won

SEA @ MIAJul 9, 4:40 PM MDT / standard / rank 1

AI Analyst: SEA moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: MIA moneyline53.2%

LostModel Won

CLE @ MINJul 9, 11:40 AM MDT / lean / rank 2

AI Analyst: CLE moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: MIN moneyline56.0%

WonModel Lost

CHC @ BALJul 9, 11:35 AM MDT / lean / rank 5

AI Analyst: CHC moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: CHC moneyline51.9%

LostModel Lost

ATL @ PITJul 9, 10:35 AM MDT / lean / rank 4

AI Analyst: ATL moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: PIT moneyline55.9%

WonModel Lost

COL @ LADJul 8, 8:10 PM MDT / lean / rank 1

AI Analyst: LAD moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: LAD moneyline66.5%

WonModel Won

LAA @ TEXJul 8, 6:05 PM MDT / lean / rank 2

AI Analyst: LAA moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: TEX moneyline60.7%

WonModel Lost

CLE @ MINJul 8, 5:40 PM MDT / lean / rank 7

AI Analyst: MIN moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: MIN moneyline50.0%

WonModel Won

SEA @ MIAJul 8, 4:40 PM MDT / lean / rank 5

AI Analyst: SEA moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: MIA moneyline53.2%

LostModel Won

NYY @ TBRJul 8, 4:40 PM MDT / lean / rank 3

AI Analyst: TBR moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: TBR moneyline56.0%

WonModel Won

CHC @ BALJul 8, 4:35 PM MDT / lean / rank 4

AI Analyst: CHC moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: BAL moneyline56.0%

WonModel Lost

TOR @ SFGJul 8, 1:45 PM MDT / lean / rank 6

AI Analyst: TOR moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: SFG moneyline52.7%

WonModel Lost

COL @ LADJul 7, 8:10 PM MDT / standard / rank 1

AI Analyst: LAD moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: LAD moneyline66.5%

LostModel Lost

TOR @ SFGJul 7, 7:45 PM MDT / lean / rank 5

AI Analyst: TOR moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: SFG moneyline59.8%

WonModel Lost

ARI @ SDPJul 7, 7:40 PM MDT / lean / rank 3

AI Analyst: ARI moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: ARI moneyline57.1%

LostModel Lost

LAA @ TEXJul 7, 6:05 PM MDT / lean / rank 2

AI Analyst: TEX moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: TEX moneyline60.0%

WonModel Won

CHC @ BALJul 7, 4:35 PM MDT / lean / rank 4

AI Analyst: CHC moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: BAL moneyline52.7%

WonModel Lost

MIL @ STLJul 7, 12:15 PM MDT / lean / rank 6

AI Analyst: MIL moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: STL moneyline50.0%

WonModel Lost

COL @ LADJul 6, 8:10 PM MDT / strong / rank 1

AI Analyst: LAD moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: COL moneyline51.9%

WonModel Lost

MIL @ STLJul 6, 5:45 PM MDT / lean / rank 4

AI Analyst: MIL moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: STL moneyline52.7%

WonModel Lost

NYY @ TBRJul 6, 4:40 PM MDT / lean / rank 3

AI Analyst: NYY moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: TBR moneyline52.7%

WonModel Lost

PHI @ KCRJul 6, 12:10 PM MDT / strong / rank 2

AI Analyst: PHI moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: PHI moneyline57.1%

LostModel Lost

BOS @ LAAJul 5, 7:30 PM MDT / standard / rank 1

AI Analyst: BOS moneylineDisagreed with base model

Base: LAA moneyline53.2%

WonModel Lost

SDP @ LADJul 5, 5:20 PM MDT / lean / rank 3

AI Analyst: LAD moneylineAgreed with base model

Base: LAD moneyline57.6%

LostModel Lost

Pick ledger

Tracked Picks

COL @ SFGJul 10, 8:15 PM MDT / Moneyline

SFG moneyline59.8%

pendingNo score yet

ARI @ LADJul 10, 8:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

LAD moneyline60.7%

pendingNo score yet

TOR @ SDPJul 10, 7:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

SDP moneyline59.8%

pendingNo score yet

ATL @ STLJul 10, 6:15 PM MDT / Moneyline

STL moneyline50.0%

pendingNo score yet

LAA @ MINJul 10, 6:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIN moneyline52.7%

pendingNo score yet

HOU @ TEXJul 10, 6:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

TEX moneyline56.0%

pendingNo score yet

OAK @ CHWJul 10, 5:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHW moneyline60.0%

pendingNo score yet

BOS @ NYMJul 10, 5:15 PM MDT / Moneyline

NYM moneyline50.0%

pendingNo score yet

CHC @ CINJul 10, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CIN moneyline52.7%

pendingNo score yet

CLE @ MIAJul 10, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIA moneyline60.0%

pendingNo score yet

SEA @ TBRJul 10, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

TBR moneyline52.7%

pendingNo score yet

KCR @ BALJul 10, 5:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

BAL moneyline52.7%

pendingNo score yet

NYY @ WSNJul 10, 4:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

WSN moneyline52.7%

pendingNo score yet

PHI @ DETJul 10, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

PHI moneyline53.5%

pendingNo score yet

MIL @ PITJul 10, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

PIT moneyline52.7%

pendingNo score yet

COL @ SFGJul 9, 7:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

SFG moneyline56.0%

ARI @ SDPJul 9, 7:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

SDP moneyline56.0%

LAA @ TEXJul 9, 6:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

TEX moneyline59.8%

MIL @ STLJul 9, 5:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIL moneyline51.5%

PHI @ CINJul 9, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CIN moneyline57.6%

OAK @ DETJul 9, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

DET moneyline52.7%

SEA @ MIAJul 9, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIA moneyline53.2%

BOS @ CHWJul 9, 12:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHW moneyline53.2%

CLE @ MINJul 9, 11:40 AM MDT / Moneyline

MIN moneyline56.0%

CHC @ BALJul 9, 11:35 AM MDT / Moneyline

CHC moneyline51.9%

KCR @ NYMJul 9, 11:10 AM MDT / Moneyline

NYM moneyline53.2%

NYY @ TBRJul 9, 11:10 AM MDT / Moneyline

TBR moneyline57.6%

ATL @ PITJul 9, 10:35 AM MDT / Moneyline

PIT moneyline55.9%

COL @ LADJul 8, 8:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

LAD moneyline66.5%

ARI @ SDPJul 8, 8:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

SDP moneyline50.0%

LAA @ TEXJul 8, 6:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

TEX moneyline60.7%

MIL @ STLJul 8, 5:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

STL moneyline51.4%

BOS @ CHWJul 8, 5:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

CHW moneyline59.8%

CLE @ MINJul 8, 5:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIN moneyline50.0%

PHI @ CINJul 8, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

CIN moneyline62.0%

KCR @ NYMJul 8, 5:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

NYM moneyline53.2%

HOU @ WSNJul 8, 4:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

WSN moneyline50.0%

OAK @ DETJul 8, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

DET moneyline60.0%

SEA @ MIAJul 8, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIA moneyline53.2%

ATL @ PITJul 8, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

PIT moneyline56.1%

NYY @ TBRJul 8, 4:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

TBR moneyline56.0%

CHC @ BALJul 8, 4:35 PM MDT / Moneyline

BAL moneyline56.0%

TOR @ SFGJul 8, 1:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

SFG moneyline52.7%

COL @ LADJul 7, 8:10 PM MDT / Moneyline

LAD moneyline66.5%

TOR @ SFGJul 7, 7:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

SFG moneyline59.8%

ARI @ SDPJul 7, 7:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

ARI moneyline57.1%

LAA @ TEXJul 7, 6:05 PM MDT / Moneyline

TEX moneyline60.0%

MIL @ STLJul 7, 5:45 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIL moneyline53.0%

BOS @ CHWJul 7, 5:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

BOS moneyline53.5%

CLE @ MINJul 7, 5:40 PM MDT / Moneyline

MIN moneyline52.7%

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