Performance and model status

Audited results, not profit claims.

sharps.gg publishes accuracy, Brier score, log loss, probability buckets, and freshness from auditable result tables. ROI, units, edge, and EV stay blank until odds alignment and grading rules are fully audited.

Live audited metrics / 397 samples

NHL

Moneyline

Accuracy100.0%
Brier0.187
Log loss0.567
1 samples2026-06-14 to 2026-06-14
50%-60%100.0%1

MLB

Moneyline

Accuracy51.0%
Brier0.253
Log loss0.698
396 samples2026-06-11 to 2026-07-10
50%-60%49.9%363
60%-70%62.5%32
70%-100%100.0%1

How To Read The Metrics

Accuracy

Share of graded picks where the selected outcome matched the final result.

Brier score

Probability error for calibrated predictions. Lower is better, and sample size matters.

Log loss

Penalty for confident misses. Lower is better; it rewards probabilities that stay honest.

Probability buckets

Grouped outcomes by selected-pick probability so calibration can be inspected instead of assumed.

Held For Audit

ROI and units

Blank until staking assumptions, odds timestamps, push handling, and grading rules are consistent.

Edge and EV

Held until every market maps cleanly from model outcome to comparable sportsbook price.

Market-implied probability

Live only for eligible MLB moneyline rows; NHL and Soccer no-vig fields remain held.

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