MLB
Moneyline
Accuracy51.0%
Brier0.250
Log loss0.692
400 samples2026-08-10 to 2026-09-08
50%-60%48.8%342
60%-70%63.8%58
Performance and model status
Audited results, not profit claims.
sharps.gg publishes accuracy, Brier score, log loss, probability buckets, and freshness from auditable result tables. ROI, units, edge, and EV stay blank until odds alignment and grading rules are fully audited.
Soccer
1X2
Accuracy52.5%
Brier0.581
Log loss0.980
141 samples2026-08-15 to 2026-09-07
34%-45%37.3%51
45%-55%52.4%42
55%-100%68.8%48
How To Read The Metrics
Accuracy
Share of graded picks where the selected outcome matched the final result.
Brier score
Probability error for calibrated predictions. Lower is better, and sample size matters.
Log loss
Penalty for confident misses. Lower is better; it rewards probabilities that stay honest.
Probability buckets
Grouped outcomes by selected-pick probability so calibration can be inspected instead of assumed.
Held For Audit
ROI and units
Blank until staking assumptions, odds timestamps, push handling, and grading rules are consistent.
Edge and EV
Held until every market maps cleanly from model outcome to comparable sportsbook price.
Market-implied probability
Live only for eligible MLB moneyline rows; NHL and Soccer no-vig fields remain held.