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OAK 0 / SEA 2
OAKOakland Athletics40%
SEASeattle Mariners60%

at T-Mobile Park

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
OAKAway starterGage JumpConfirmed
Model pickSEA moneyline60%Model 20260831_auto
SEAHome starterBryan WooConfirmed
OAK40%ML +178
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
SEA60%ML -212

AI Analyst Insight

AI agreementAnalyst agrees with base model
AI rank#3
Total lean · analyst-timeUnder
Model-market gap · analyst-time3.7 pts

Market implies 64% on SEA vs model 60.4%, so no disagreement on side. Woo's 1.09 WHIP and 9.0 K/9 over 148 IP outclasses Jump's 1.49 WHIP and 5.15 ERA. T-Mobile at 0.855 park factor makes the model's 8.22 total look too high against a 7.0 line; under is the cleaner angle.

extreme park

Projection Context

Projected margin0.7
Projected total8.2
Market total7.0
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Gage JumpOAK starter / away
Projected K5.6Actual 7 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -105 betmgm / U +100 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 5.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.579%over
O 4.565%over
O 5.548%over
O 6.533%over
O 7.521%under
O 8.512%under
O 9.57%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.52%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.

Bryan WooSEA starter / home
Projected K5.6Actual 9 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +108 fanduel / U -122 betrivers6 books at this line
Model over 6.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%over
O 2.591%over
O 3.580%over
O 4.565%over
O 5.549%over
O 6.533%over
O 7.521%over
O 8.513%over
O 9.57%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 9 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus+178 / -212OAK / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total