MLB / mlb / live
COL 4 / SFG 3COLColorado Rockies47%
SFGSan Francisco Giants53%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterTanner GordonConfirmed
Model pickSFG moneyline53%Model 20260706_auto
SFGHome starterRobbie RayConfirmed
COL47%ML +130
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability58%Selected moneyline pick
SFG53%ML -155
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.7
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Tanner GordonCOL starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +130 betonlineag / U -150 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 4.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%under
O 2.573%under
O 3.553%under
O 4.534%under
O 5.520%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Robbie RaySFG starter / home
Projected K4.2Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +108 draftkings / U -123 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 5.526%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.578%over
O 3.560%over
O 4.542%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.514%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+130 / -155COL / SFG moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+135)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total