MLB / mlb / live
ARI 3 / HOU 2ARIArizona Diamondbacks50%
HOUHouston Astros50%
at Daikin Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterEduardo RodriguezConfirmed
Model pickARI moneyline50%Model 20260831_auto
HOUHome starterPeter LambertConfirmed
ARI50%ML -102
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
HOU50%ML -115
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Eduardo RodriguezARI starter / away
Projected K5.1Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +118 draftkings / U -135 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 4.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.587%over
O 3.573%over
O 4.556%over
O 5.539%over
O 6.525%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Peter LambertHOU starter / home
Projected K5.3Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -108 draftkings / U +105 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 4.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.576%over
O 4.560%over
O 5.543%over
O 6.528%under
O 7.517%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-102 / -115ARI / HOU moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-182)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total