MLB / mlb / live
MIN 4 / DET 5MINMinnesota Twins52%
DETDetroit Tigers48%
at Comerica Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterJoe RyanConfirmed
Model pickMIN moneyline52%Model 20260907_auto
DETHome starterTroy MeltonConfirmed
MIN52%ML +103
Base model probability52%Moneyline only
DET48%ML -120
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Joe RyanMIN starter / away
Projected K4.9Actual 7 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -115 bovada / U -109 betonlineag4 books at this line
Model over 3.571%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.553%over
O 5.536%over
O 6.523%over
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
Troy MeltonDET starter / home
Projected K4.9Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +124 fanduel / U -137 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 4.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.570%under
O 4.553%under
O 5.536%under
O 6.523%under
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+103 / -120MIN / DET moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+163)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line24 total