MLB / mlb / live
STL 10 / COL 8STLSt. Louis Cardinals50%
COLColorado Rockies50%
at Coors Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterKyle LeahyConfirmed
Model pickSTL moneyline50%Model 20260831_auto
COLHome starterTanner GordonConfirmed
STL50%ML -134
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
COL50%ML +116
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total11.3
Market total11.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Kyle LeahySTL starter / away
Projected K4.1Actual 6 K / Over 2.5
Best price at 2.52.5O +115 draftkings / U -128 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 2.577%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%over
O 2.577%over
O 3.558%over
O 4.539%over
O 5.524%over
O 6.513%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Tanner GordonCOL starter / home
Projected K3.5Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -167 betrivers / U +140 bovada3 books at this line
Model over 3.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%over
O 2.567%over
O 3.546%over
O 4.527%under
O 5.515%under
O 6.57%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-134 / +116STL / COL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-131)Home spread price shown for context
Total context11.0O -114 / U -106
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total