MLB / mlb / live
MIL 3 / CIN 5MILMilwaukee Brewers51%
CINCincinnati Reds49%
at Great American Ball Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMILAway starterDustin MayConfirmed
Model pickMIL moneyline51%Model 20260831_auto
CINHome starterAndrew AbbottConfirmed
MIL51%ML -151
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
CIN49%ML +130
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.6
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Dustin MayMIL starter / away
Projected K4.5Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +105 bovada / U -118 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 5.530%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.565%over
O 4.546%over
O 5.530%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Andrew AbbottCIN starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -135 bovada / U +110 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 3.562%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.562%over
O 4.543%over
O 5.527%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-151 / +130MIL / CIN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-125)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -113 / U -107
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total