MLB / mlb / live
BOS 2 / CHW 1BOSBoston Red Sox47%
CHWChicago White Sox53%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterPatrick SandovalConfirmed
Model pickCHW moneyline53%Model 20260706_auto
CHWHome starterAnthony KayConfirmed
BOS47%ML -104
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
CHW53%ML -115
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.9
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Patrick SandovalBOS starter / away
Projected K4.3Actual 5 K
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.543%over
O 5.527%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Anthony KayCHW starter / home
Projected K4.3Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +132 fanduel / U -161 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.542%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-104 / -115BOS / CHW moneyline
Run line context-1.0 (+128)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -108 / U -114
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total