MLB / mlb / live
BOS 8 / CHW 1BOSBoston Red Sox53%
CHWChicago White Sox47%
at Rate Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterPayton TolleConfirmed
Model pickBOS moneyline53%Model 20260706_auto
CHWHome starterNoah SchultzConfirmed
BOS53%ML -124
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
CHW47%ML +105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Payton TolleBOS starter / away
Projected K4.6Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -108 betonlineag / U -104 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 5.532%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.566%over
O 4.548%over
O 5.532%over
O 6.519%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Noah SchultzCHW starter / home
Projected K4.4Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -118 betrivers / U +100 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 4.545%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.580%over
O 3.563%under
O 4.545%under
O 5.528%under
O 6.516%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-124 / +105BOS / CHW moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -107 / U -114
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total