MLB / mlb / live
TOR 5 / OAK 6TORToronto Blue Jays58%
OAKOakland Athletics42%
at Sutter Health Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterDylan CeaseProbable
Model pickTOR moneyline58%Model 20260907_auto
OAKHome starterJacob LopezProbable
TOR58%ML -216
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
OAK42%ML +180
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total7.9
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Dylan CeaseTOR starter / away
Projected K6.9Actual 6 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +100 fanduel / U -110 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 7.538%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.596%over
O 3.590%over
O 4.580%over
O 5.567%over
O 6.552%under
O 7.538%under
O 8.526%under
O 9.517%under
O 10.510%under
O 11.56%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Jacob LopezOAK starter / home
Projected K5.2Actual 1 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +105 betmgm / U -128 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 4.559%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%under
O 2.588%under
O 3.576%under
O 4.559%under
O 5.543%under
O 6.528%under
O 7.517%under
O 8.59%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-216 / +180TOR / OAK moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+105)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -114 / U -108
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total