MLB / mlb / live
LAA 5 / WSN 6LAALos Angeles Angels47%
WSNWashington Nationals53%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterGrayson RodriguezConfirmed
Model pickWSN moneyline53%Model 20260907_auto
WSNHome starterRiley CornelioConfirmed
LAA47%ML +115
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
WSN53%ML -136
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total7.6
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Grayson RodriguezLAA starter / away
Projected K4.6Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -125 bovada / U +102 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.549%under
O 5.532%under
O 6.519%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Riley CornelioWSN starter / home
Projected K3.3Actual 4 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.583%over
O 2.562%over
O 3.541%over
O 4.523%under
O 5.512%under
O 6.55%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+115 / -136LAA / WSN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+147)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total