MLB / mlb / live
MIA 4 / WSN 5MIAMiami Marlins46%
WSNWashington Nationals54%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMIAAway starterSandy AlcantaraConfirmed
Model pickWSN moneyline54%Model 20260824_auto
WSNHome starterCade CavalliConfirmed
MIA46%ML -110
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
WSN54%ML -106
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Sandy AlcantaraMIA starter / away
Projected K4.6Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +118 fanduel / U -128 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%under
O 4.549%under
O 5.532%under
O 6.519%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Cade CavalliWSN starter / home
Projected K5.9Actual 8 K / Over 6.5
Best price at 6.56.5O +128 betonlineag / U -146 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 6.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.582%over
O 4.568%over
O 5.553%over
O 6.537%over
O 7.525%over
O 8.515%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.55%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-110 / -106MIA / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-152)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -107 / U -112
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total