MLB / mlb / live
COL 1 / WSN 7COLColorado Rockies43%
WSNWashington Nationals57%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterGabriel HughesConfirmed
Model pickWSN moneyline57%Model 20260824_auto
WSNHome starterJake IrvinConfirmed
COL43%ML +125
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
WSN57%ML -146
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.9
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Gabriel HughesCOL starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +103 betonlineag / U -120 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 3.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%over
O 3.553%under
O 4.534%under
O 5.520%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Jake IrvinWSN starter / home
Projected K4.6Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +113 betonlineag / U -110 betmgm5 books at this line
Model over 4.549%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.583%over
O 3.567%over
O 4.549%over
O 5.532%over
O 6.519%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+125 / -146COL / WSN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+142)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -118 / U -103
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total