MLB / mlb / live
CHC 8 / WSN 6CHCChicago Cubs53%
WSNWashington Nationals47%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterShota ImanagaConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline53%Model 20260810_auto
WSNHome starterJake IrvinConfirmed
CHC53%ML -181
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
WSN47%ML +154
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Shota ImanagaCHC starter / away
Projected K4.9Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +125 betonlineag / U -146 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 5.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.570%over
O 4.553%over
O 5.536%under
O 6.522%under
O 7.513%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Jake IrvinWSN starter / home
Projected K4.5Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +128 fanduel / U -154 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.547%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.565%over
O 4.547%under
O 5.531%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-181 / +154CHC / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-109)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -114 / U -110
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total