MLB / mlb / live
CHC 12 / WSN 6CHCChicago Cubs58%
WSNWashington Nationals42%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterDavid PetersonConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline58%Model 20260810_auto
WSNHome starterJackson KentConfirmed
CHC58%ML -164
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
WSN42%ML +138
Projection Context
Projected margin1.1
Projected total9.3
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
David PetersonCHC starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +116 draftkings / U -135 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.534%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%over
O 3.553%over
O 4.534%over
O 5.520%over
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Jackson KentWSN starter / homeThin data
Projected K3.4Actual 6 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.584%over
O 2.565%over
O 3.544%over
O 4.526%over
O 5.513%over
O 6.56%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-164 / +138CHC / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -115 / U -108
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total