MLB / mlb / live
scheduledTORToronto Blue Jays45%
WSNWashington Nationals55%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterMax ScherzerProbable
Model pickWSN moneyline55%Model 20260720_auto
WSNHome starterAndrew AlvarezProbable
TOR45%ML +110
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
WSN55%ML -132
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.1
Market total10.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+110 / -132TOR / WSN moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context10.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total