MLB / mlb / live
SDP 2 / WSN 4SDPSan Diego Padres46%
WSNWashington Nationals54%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterGriffin Canning
Model pickWSN moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
WSNHome starterZack Littell
SDP46%ML -114
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability49%Selected moneyline pick
WSN54%ML -105
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#10
Total leanNo total lean
Model-market gap4.5 pts
Missing pitcher stats (both ERA, IP, K/9 null) makes evaluation impossible. Model sees coin flip (53.5% vs market 48.3%). SDP's 2.9 RPG with .547 OPS is historically weak but without pitcher context I cannot justify disagreeing with the tight spread. Pass on both side and total.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.0
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-114 / -105SDP / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total