MLB / mlb / live
SDP 2 / WSN 4SDPSan Diego Padres46%
WSNWashington Nationals54%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterGriffin Canning
Model pickWSN moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
WSNHome starterZack Littell
SDP46%ML -114
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
WSN54%ML -105
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#10
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time5.3 pts
Missing pitcher stats (both ERA, IP, K/9 null) makes evaluation impossible. Model sees coin flip (53.5% vs market 48.3%). SDP's 2.9 RPG with .547 OPS is historically weak but without pitcher context I cannot justify disagreeing with the tight spread. Pass on both side and total.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.0
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-114 / -105SDP / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total