MLB / mlb / live
SDP 7 / WSN 5SDPSan Diego Padres46%
WSNWashington Nationals54%
at Nationals Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterLucas Giolito
Model pickWSN moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
WSNHome starterPaxton Schultz
SDP46%ML +100
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability52%Selected moneyline pick
WSN54%ML -117
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.2
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+100 / -117SDP / WSN moneyline
Run line context1.3 (-163)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -106 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total