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scheduled
STLSt. Louis Cardinals45%
TORToronto Blue Jays55%

at Rogers Centre

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
STLAway starterKyle LeahyProbable
Model pickTOR moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
TORHome starterDylan CeaseProbable
STL45%ML +153
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability62%Selected moneyline pick
TOR55%ML -184

Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.

Projection Context

Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.7
Market total7.5
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Updated
Market
Kyle LeahySTL starter / away
Projected K3.9
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%
O 2.574%
O 3.555%
O 4.536%
O 5.521%
O 6.511%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%

Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.

Dylan CeaseTOR starter / home
Projected K8.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.5100%
O 2.599%
O 3.596%
O 4.591%
O 5.582%
O 6.571%
O 7.559%
O 8.546%
O 9.534%
O 10.524%
O 11.516%

Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context

Market consensus+153 / -184STL / TOR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+113)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total