MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSTLSt. Louis Cardinals45%
TORToronto Blue Jays55%
at Rogers Centre
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSTLAway starterKyle LeahyProbable
Model pickTOR moneyline55%Model 20260727_auto
TORHome starterDylan CeaseProbable
STL45%ML +153
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability62%Selected moneyline pick
TOR55%ML -184
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.7
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Kyle LeahySTL starter / away
Projected K3.9
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%
O 2.574%
O 3.555%
O 4.536%
O 5.521%
O 6.511%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Dylan CeaseTOR starter / home
Projected K8.4
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.5100%
O 2.599%
O 3.596%
O 4.591%
O 5.582%
O 6.571%
O 7.559%
O 8.546%
O 9.534%
O 10.524%
O 11.516%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+153 / -184STL / TOR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+113)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total