MLB / mlb / live
BOS 3 / TEX 7BOSBoston Red Sox54%
TEXTexas Rangers46%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterJake BennettConfirmed
Model pickBOS moneyline54%Model 20260914_auto
TEXHome starterMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
BOS54%ML -110
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
TEX46%ML -108
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.7
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Jake BennettBOS starter / away
Projected K4.3Actual 7 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +116 fanduel / U -136 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.562%over
O 4.543%over
O 5.527%over
O 6.515%over
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 7 strikeouts.
MacKenzie GoreTEX starter / home
Projected K5.1Actual 0 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -146 fanduel / U +122 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%under
O 2.587%under
O 3.573%under
O 4.556%under
O 5.539%under
O 6.525%under
O 7.515%under
O 8.58%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 0 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-110 / -108BOS / TEX moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-180)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total