MLB / mlb / live
TOR 1 / TEX 7TORToronto Blue Jays57%
TEXTexas Rangers43%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterDylan CeaseConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline57%Model 20260914_auto
TEXHome starterKumar RockerConfirmed
TOR57%ML -139
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
TEX43%ML +117
Projection Context
Projected margin1.5
Projected total8.4
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Dylan CeaseTOR starter / away
Projected K6.9Actual 3 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +112 fanduel / U -130 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 7.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.596%over
O 3.590%under
O 4.580%under
O 5.567%under
O 6.553%under
O 7.539%under
O 8.527%under
O 9.517%under
O 10.510%under
O 11.56%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Kumar RockerTEX starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -114 betonlineag / U +107 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 3.568%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%under
O 3.568%under
O 4.550%under
O 5.533%under
O 6.520%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-139 / +117TOR / TEX moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total