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TOR 1 / TEX 7
TORToronto Blue Jays57%
TEXTexas Rangers43%

at Globe Life Field

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
TORAway starterDylan CeaseConfirmed
Model pickTOR moneyline57%Model 20260914_auto
TEXHome starterKumar RockerConfirmed
TOR57%ML -139
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
TEX43%ML +117

Projection Context

Projected margin1.5
Projected total8.4
Market total7.5
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Pitcher Strikeout Forecast

Final / frozen pregame forecast / Updated
Market
Lines
Dylan CeaseTOR starter / away
Projected K6.9Actual 3 K / Under 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +112 fanduel / U -130 bovada6 books at this line
Model over 7.539%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.596%over
O 3.590%under
O 4.580%under
O 5.567%under
O 6.553%under
O 7.539%under
O 8.527%under
O 9.517%under
O 10.510%under
O 11.56%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.

Kumar RockerTEX starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -114 betonlineag / U +107 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 3.568%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%under
O 3.568%under
O 4.550%under
O 5.533%under
O 6.520%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under

Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.

Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.

Odds & Market Context Closing odds

Market consensus-139 / +117TOR / TEX moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -115
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total