MLB / mlb / live
TBR 7 / TEX 6TBRTampa Bay Rays50%
TEXTexas Rangers50%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTBRAway starterNick MartinezConfirmed
Model pickTBR moneyline50%Model 20260831_auto
TEXHome starterTrevor WilliamsConfirmed
TBR50%ML -1
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
TEX50%ML -117
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total9.3
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Nick MartinezTBR starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +112 fanduel / U -130 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 3.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%over
O 2.573%over
O 3.553%over
O 4.534%under
O 5.520%under
O 6.510%under
O 7.55%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Trevor WilliamsTEX starter / home
Projected K3.0Actual 2 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%over
O 2.557%under
O 3.536%under
O 4.519%under
O 5.59%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-1 / -117TBR / TEX moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-174)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -110 / U -110
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total