MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSEASeattle Mariners46%
TEXTexas Rangers54%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterGeorge KirbyProbable
Model pickTEX moneyline54%Model 20260720_auto
TEXHome starterKumar RockerProbable
SEA46%ML -132
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability46%Selected moneyline pick
TEX54%ML +110
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
George KirbySEA starter / away
Projected K5.2
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.588%
O 3.575%
O 4.558%
O 5.542%
O 6.527%
O 7.516%
O 8.59%
O 9.55%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Kumar RockerTEX starter / home
Projected K4.7
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%
O 2.584%
O 3.568%
O 4.550%
O 5.533%
O 6.520%
O 7.511%
O 8.56%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-132 / +110SEA / TEX moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total