MLB / mlb / live
CHW 4 / TEX 2CHWChicago White Sox45%
TEXTexas Rangers55%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterAnthony KayConfirmed
Model pickTEX moneyline55%Model 20260720_auto
TEXHome starterTyler AlexanderConfirmed
CHW45%ML -122
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
TEX55%ML +103
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Anthony KayCHW starter / away
Projected K4.3Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 betonlineag / U -138 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 4.542%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%over
O 2.579%over
O 3.561%over
O 4.542%under
O 5.526%under
O 6.515%under
O 7.58%under
O 8.54%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Tyler AlexanderTEX starter / home
Projected K2.9Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.578%under
O 2.555%under
O 3.534%under
O 4.518%under
O 5.58%under
O 6.53%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-122 / +103CHW / TEX moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total