MLB / mlb / live
HOU 5 / TEX 6HOUHouston Astros44%
TEXTexas Rangers56%
at Globe Life Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterCristian JavierConfirmed
Model pickTEX moneyline56%Model 20260706_auto
TEXHome starterMacKenzie GoreConfirmed
HOU44%ML +118
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
TEX56%ML -139
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Cristian JavierHOU starter / away
Projected K3.0Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +112 draftkings / U -135 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 3.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.580%over
O 2.558%over
O 3.536%over
O 4.519%under
O 5.59%under
O 6.54%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
MacKenzie GoreTEX starter / home
Projected K3.8Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +108 fanduel / U -125 betonlineag6 books at this line
Model over 4.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.552%over
O 4.533%under
O 5.519%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+118 / -139HOU / TEX moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+145)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -109 / U -110
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total