MLB / mlb / live
BOS 1 / TBR 2BOSBoston Red Sox47%
TBRTampa Bay Rays53%
at Tropicana Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterBrayan BelloConfirmed
Model pickTBR moneyline53%Model 20260914_auto
TBRHome starterFreddy PeraltaConfirmed
BOS47%ML +125
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
TBR53%ML -150
Projection Context
Projected margin0.0
Projected total9.0
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Freddy PeraltaTBR starter / home
Projected K4.5
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.581%
O 3.564%
O 4.546%
O 5.529%
O 6.517%
O 7.59%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+125 / -150BOS / TBR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -115
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total