MLB / mlb / live
BOS 4 / TBR 2BOSBoston Red Sox42%
TBRTampa Bay Rays58%
at Tropicana Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedBOSAway starterRanger SuarezConfirmed
Model pickTBR moneyline58%Model 20260914_auto
TBRHome starterIan SeymourConfirmed
BOS42%ML +115
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
TBR58%ML -138
Projection Context
Projected margin0.7
Projected total8.0
Market total7.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Ranger SuarezBOS starter / away
Projected K3.8Actual 5 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O +125 fanatics / U -142 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 4.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%over
O 2.572%over
O 3.551%over
O 4.533%over
O 5.519%under
O 6.59%under
O 7.54%under
O 8.52%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Ian SeymourTBR starter / home
Projected K6.6Actual 5 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -135 betonlineag / U +110 bovada4 books at this line
Model over 5.563%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.599%over
O 2.595%over
O 3.588%over
O 4.577%over
O 5.563%under
O 6.549%under
O 7.535%under
O 8.523%under
O 9.514%under
O 10.58%under
O 11.55%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+115 / -138BOS / TBR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+160)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.0O -110 / U -110
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total