MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCHWChicago White Sox46%
TBRTampa Bay Rays54%
at Tropicana Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHWAway starterErick FeddeProbable
Model pickTBR moneyline54%Model 20260727_auto
TBRHome starterNick MartinezProbable
CHW46%ML +119
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability56%Selected moneyline pick
TBR54%ML -140
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Erick FeddeCHW starter / away
Projected K3.3
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.583%
O 2.563%
O 3.541%
O 4.524%
O 5.512%
O 6.55%
O 7.52%
O 8.51%
O 9.50%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Nick MartinezTBR starter / home
Projected K4.2
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.578%
O 3.560%
O 4.541%
O 5.526%
O 6.514%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+119 / -140CHW / TBR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+150)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O +100 / U -119
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total