MLB / mlb / live
scheduledSEASeattle Mariners49%
TBRTampa Bay Rays51%
at Tropicana Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSEAAway starterLogan GilbertProbable
Model pickTBR moneyline51%Model 20260706_auto
TBRHome starterGriffin JaxProbable
SEA49%ML -106
Base model probability51%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability51%Selected moneyline pick
TBR51%ML -112
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.9
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Logan GilbertSEA starter / away
Projected K5.8
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.597%
O 2.592%
O 3.581%
O 4.567%
O 5.551%
O 6.536%
O 7.523%
O 8.514%
O 9.58%
O 10.54%
O 11.52%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Griffin JaxTBR starter / home
Projected K5.3
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.589%
O 3.576%
O 4.560%
O 5.543%
O 6.529%
O 7.517%
O 8.510%
O 9.55%
O 10.53%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-106 / -112SEA / TBR moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O +105 / U -125
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total