MLB / mlb / live
TOR 1 / TBR 5TORToronto Blue Jays57%
TBRTampa Bay Rays43%
at Tropicana Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedTORAway starterEric Lauer
Model pickTOR moneyline57%Model 20260414_1
TBRHome starterNick Martinez
TOR57%ML +102
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
TBR43%ML -123
AI Analyst Insight
AI agreementAnalyst disagrees with base model
AI rank#8
Total lean · analyst-timeNo total lean
Model-market gap · analyst-time8.3 pts
Away pitcher is TBD and Martinez has null stats despite 10 starts. Structural data gaps make both moneyline and total unreadable. Model disagrees with market by ~2pp but that's noise given the missing inputs. No comparison without knowing who pitches.
pitcher data fallbackLarge model-market gap
Projection Context
Projected margin0.9
Projected total9.2
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+102 / -123TOR / TBR moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+162)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -110
32 books30 ML24 run line22 total