MLB / mlb / live
NYY 4 / TBR 5NYYNew York Yankees46%
TBRTampa Bay Rays54%
at Tropicana Field
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedNYYAway starterMax Fried
Model pickTBR moneyline54%Model production_v1
TBRHome starterNick Martinez
NYY46%ML -190
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability37%Selected moneyline pick
TBR54%ML +160
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.1
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-190 / +160NYY / TBR moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-110)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -105 / U -115
31 books29 ML24 run line21 total