MLB / mlb / live
scheduledWSNWashington Nationals44%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals56%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterJake IrvinProbable
Model pickSTL moneyline56%Model 20260914_auto
STLHome starterQuinn MathewsProbable
WSN44%ML +121
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability57%Selected moneyline pick
STL56%ML -146
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.5
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Jake IrvinWSN starter / away
Projected K4.0
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%
O 2.575%
O 3.556%
O 4.537%
O 5.522%
O 6.512%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Quinn MathewsSTL starter / home
Projected K5.2
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%
O 2.588%
O 3.575%
O 4.559%
O 5.542%
O 6.527%
O 7.517%
O 8.59%
O 9.55%
O 10.52%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+121 / -146WSN / STL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+140)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -110 / U -110
31 books30 ML24 run line23 total