MLB / mlb / live
WSN 8 / STL 5WSNWashington Nationals47%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals53%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedWSNAway starterAndrew AlvarezConfirmed
Model pickSTL moneyline53%Model 20260914_auto
STLHome starterMichael McGreevyConfirmed
WSN47%ML -108
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
STL53%ML -110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.8
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
In progress / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Andrew AlvarezWSN starter / away
Projected K3.9
Best price at 3.53.5O -155 betmgm / U +125 betonlineag4 books at this line
Model over 3.553%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%
O 2.573%
O 3.553%
O 4.534%
O 5.520%
O 6.510%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Michael McGreevySTL starter / home
Projected K4.4
Best price at 3.53.5O -123 draftkings / U +105 bovada7 books at this line
Model over 3.563%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%
O 2.580%
O 3.563%
O 4.544%
O 5.528%
O 6.516%
O 7.58%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-108 / -110WSN / STL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-179)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -115 / U -102
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total