MLB / mlb / live
COL 4 / STL 7COLColorado Rockies43%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals57%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCOLAway starterMichael LorenzenConfirmed
Model pickSTL moneyline57%Model 20260803_auto
STLHome starterMichael McGreevyConfirmed
COL43%ML +143
Base model probability57%Moneyline only
STL57%ML -167
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total9.0
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Michael LorenzenCOL starter / away
Projected K3.3Actual 1 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O +137 draftkings / U -174 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 3.543%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.584%under
O 2.564%under
O 3.543%under
O 4.525%under
O 5.513%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.52%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Michael McGreevySTL starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 4 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -125 betmgm / U +110 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 3.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.575%over
O 3.556%over
O 4.537%under
O 5.522%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+143 / -167COL / STL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+120)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -118 / U -102
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total