MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCHCChicago Cubs54%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals46%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterMatthew BoydProbable
Model pickCHC moneyline54%Model 20260727_auto
STLHome starterDustin MayProbable
CHC54%ML -110
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability50%Selected moneyline pick
STL46%ML -108
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.8
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Matthew BoydCHC starter / away
Projected K4.3
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.592%
O 2.579%
O 3.561%
O 4.542%
O 5.526%
O 6.515%
O 7.58%
O 8.54%
O 9.52%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-110 / -108CHC / STL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-180)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -110 / U -111
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total