MLB / mlb / live
scheduledCHCChicago Cubs45%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals55%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterStarter TBD
Model pickSTL moneyline55%Model 20260720_auto
STLHome starterStarter TBD
CHC45%ML -118
Base model probability55%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability48%Selected moneyline pick
STL55%ML -103
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.3
Projected total9.1
Market total9.5
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
David PetersonCHC starter / away
Projected K3.6
Market lineN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%
O 2.569%
O 3.549%
O 4.530%
O 5.516%
O 6.58%
O 7.54%
O 8.51%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus-118 / -103CHC / STL moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-167)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.5O -110 / U -110
24 books22 ML13 run line13 total