MLB / mlb / live
ATL 4 / STL 3ATLAtlanta Braves40%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals60%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedATLAway starterDanny YoungConfirmed
Model pickSTL moneyline60%Model 20260706_auto
STLHome starterDustin MayConfirmed
ATL40%ML +110
Base model probability60%Moneyline only
STL60%ML -130
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total8.8
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Danny YoungATL starter / awayThin data
Projected K2.9Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.578%under
O 2.555%under
O 3.534%under
O 4.518%under
O 5.58%under
O 6.53%under
O 7.51%under
O 8.50%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Dustin MaySTL starter / home
Projected K4.9Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -129 betrivers / U +112 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 4.554%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.572%over
O 4.554%under
O 5.537%under
O 6.524%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+110 / -130ATL / STL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+156)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -115 / U -105
33 books32 ML23 run line23 total