MLB / mlb / live
scheduledARIArizona Diamondbacks47%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals53%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedARIAway starterStarter TBD
Model pickSTL moneyline53%Model 20260622_auto
STLHome starterStarter TBD
ARI47%ML +115
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
STL53%ML -136
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total8.7
Market total9.0
Total leanUnder
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Lines
Zac GallenARI starter / away
Projected K3.7
Best price at 3.53.5O -120 betmgm / U -103 betrivers7 books at this line
Model over 3.550%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.588%
O 2.571%
O 3.550%
O 4.532%
O 5.518%
O 6.59%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Michael McGreevySTL starter / home
Projected K3.8
Best price at 2.52.5O -150 betmgm / U +142 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 2.572%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.589%
O 2.572%
O 3.552%
O 4.533%
O 5.519%
O 6.510%
O 7.55%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+115 / -136ARI / STL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+153)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -105 / U -118
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total