MLB / mlb / live
CIN 5 / STL 6CINCincinnati Reds46%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals54%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterNick Lodolo
Model pickSTL moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
STLHome starterMatthew Liberatore
CIN46%ML +105
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability53%Selected moneyline pick
STL54%ML -126
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+105 / -126CIN / STL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -114 / U -106
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total