MLB / mlb / live
CIN 5 / STL 6CINCincinnati Reds46%
STLSt. Louis Cardinals54%
at Busch Stadium
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCINAway starterNick Lodolo
Model pickSTL moneyline54%Model 20260414_1
STLHome starterMatthew Liberatore
CIN46%ML +105
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
STL54%ML -126
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.1
Market total9.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+105 / -126CIN / STL moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+158)Home spread price shown for context
Total context9.0O -114 / U -106
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total