MLB / mlb / live
scheduledHOUHouston Astros46%
SEASeattle Mariners54%
at T-Mobile Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterEthan PeckoProbable
Model pickSEA moneyline54%Model 20260921_auto
SEAHome starterGeorge KirbyProbable
HOU46%ML +108
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability54%Selected moneyline pick
SEA54%ML -127
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total8.5
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Ethan PeckoHOU starter / away
Projected K3.6
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.587%
O 2.570%
O 3.549%
O 4.530%
O 5.517%
O 6.58%
O 7.54%
O 8.52%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
George KirbySEA starter / home
Projected K4.8
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%
O 2.585%
O 3.570%
O 4.552%
O 5.535%
O 6.522%
O 7.512%
O 8.56%
O 9.53%
O 10.51%
O 11.51%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus+108 / -127HOU / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -118 / U -104
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total