MLB / mlb / live
CHC 5 / SEA 6CHCChicago Cubs53%
SEASeattle Mariners47%
at T-Mobile Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedCHCAway starterMatthew BoydConfirmed
Model pickCHC moneyline53%Model 20260817_auto
SEAHome starterEmerson HancockConfirmed
CHC53%ML -108
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
SEA47%ML -110
Projection Context
Projected margin0.6
Projected total9.5
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Matthew BoydCHC starter / away
Projected K4.5Actual 3 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -130 fanatics / U +110 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 4.546%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.593%over
O 2.581%over
O 3.564%under
O 4.546%under
O 5.530%under
O 6.517%under
O 7.59%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Emerson HancockSEA starter / home
Projected K4.9Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +130 betonlineag / U -164 fanduel5 books at this line
Model over 5.537%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.586%over
O 3.571%over
O 4.554%over
O 5.537%over
O 6.523%under
O 7.514%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.54%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-108 / -110CHC / SEA moneyline
Run line context1.0 (-152)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -112 / U -106
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total