MLB / mlb / live
DET 8 / SEA 0DETDetroit Tigers47%
SEASeattle Mariners53%
at T-Mobile Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterTroy MeltonConfirmed
Model pickSEA moneyline53%Model 20260803_auto
SEAHome starterEmerson HancockConfirmed
DET47%ML +107
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
SEA53%ML -125
Projection Context
Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.3
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Troy MeltonDET starter / away
Projected K5.3Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +112 betonlineag / U -139 draftkings5 books at this line
Model over 5.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.577%over
O 4.561%under
O 5.544%under
O 6.529%under
O 7.518%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.53%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Emerson HancockSEA starter / home
Projected K4.7Actual 6 K / Over 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O +136 betonlineag / U -158 fanduel4 books at this line
Model over 5.533%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.584%over
O 3.568%over
O 4.550%over
O 5.533%over
O 6.520%under
O 7.511%under
O 8.56%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus+107 / -125DET / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+166)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -118 / U -102
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total