MLB / mlb / live
LAA 0 / SEA 1LAALos Angeles Angels42%
SEASeattle Mariners58%
at T-Mobile Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedLAAAway starterWalbert UreñaConfirmed
Model pickSEA moneyline58%Model 20260629_auto
SEAHome starterBryce MillerConfirmed
LAA42%ML +186
Base model probability58%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability66%Selected moneyline pick
SEA58%ML -225
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.8
Projected total8.7
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Walbert UrenaLAA starter / away
Projected K5.3Actual 6 K / Over 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -128 draftkings / U +120 betonlineag7 books at this line
Model over 4.560%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.596%over
O 2.589%over
O 3.576%over
O 4.560%over
O 5.543%over
O 6.528%under
O 7.517%under
O 8.510%under
O 9.55%under
O 10.52%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 6 strikeouts.
Bryce MillerSEA starter / home
Projected K5.8Actual 8 K / Over 7.5
Best price at 7.57.5O +138 fanduel / U -149 betonlineag5 books at this line
Model over 7.524%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.598%over
O 2.592%over
O 3.582%over
O 4.568%over
O 5.552%over
O 6.537%over
O 7.524%over
O 8.515%under
O 9.58%under
O 10.54%under
O 11.52%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 8 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context
Market consensus+186 / -225LAA / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -103 / U -120
33 books32 ML24 run line23 total