Back to board

MLB / mlb / live

ATL 3 / SEA 2
ATLAtlanta Braves47%
SEASeattle Mariners53%

at T-Mobile Park

Live MLB Moneyline

Updated
ATLAway starterBryce Elder
Model pickSEA moneyline53%Model 20260414_1
SEAHome starterGeorge Kirby
ATL47%ML +114
Base model probability53%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability55%Selected moneyline pick
SEA53%ML -136

Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.

Projection Context

Projected margin0.1
Projected total9.0
Market total8.0
Total leanOver

Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.

Odds & Market Context

Market consensus+114 / -136ATL / SEA moneyline
Run line context-1.5 (+155)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -108 / U -112
31 books29 ML23 run line21 total