MLB / mlb / live
scheduledMINMinnesota Twins50%
SFGSan Francisco Giants50%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedMINAway starterZebby MatthewsProbable
Model pickMIN moneyline50%Model 20260914_auto
SFGHome starterBlade TidwellProbable
MIN50%ML -117
Base model probability50%Moneyline only
Market-implied probability52%Selected moneyline pick
SFG50%ML -103
Market-implied probability is estimated from the listed MLB moneyline after removing sportsbook margin. This is market context, not betting advice.
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.5
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
UpdatedMarket
Zebby MatthewsMIN starter / away
Projected K4.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%
O 2.577%
O 3.558%
O 4.540%
O 5.524%
O 6.513%
O 7.57%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.51%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Blade TidwellSFG starter / home
Projected K4.1
Market line · pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%
O 2.576%
O 3.557%
O 4.538%
O 5.523%
O 6.512%
O 7.56%
O 8.53%
O 9.51%
O 10.50%
O 11.50%
Model probability that the starter exceeds each strikeout line.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Market odds · pregame
Market consensus-117 / -103MIN / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-170)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -111 / U -118
32 books31 ML24 run line23 total