MLB / mlb / live
SDP 7 / SFG 6SDPSan Diego Padres54%
SFGSan Francisco Giants46%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedSDPAway starterMichael KingConfirmed
Model pickSDP moneyline54%Model 20260907_auto
SFGHome starterCesar PerdomoConfirmed
SDP54%ML -188
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
SFG46%ML +155
Projection Context
Projected margin0.5
Projected total8.5
Market total7.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Michael KingSDP starter / away
Projected K4.6Actual 4 K / Under 4.5
Best price at 4.54.5O -120 bovada / U +102 draftkings6 books at this line
Model over 4.548%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.594%over
O 2.582%over
O 3.566%over
O 4.548%under
O 5.531%under
O 6.518%under
O 7.510%under
O 8.55%under
O 9.52%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Cesar PerdomoSFG starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 3 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -120 betonlineag / U +115 betmgm7 books at this line
Model over 3.557%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.576%over
O 3.557%under
O 4.538%under
O 5.523%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 3 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-188 / +155SDP / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-110)Home spread price shown for context
Total context7.5O -120 / U +100
33 books32 ML25 run line24 total