MLB / mlb / live
HOU 1 / SFG 4HOUHouston Astros44%
SFGSan Francisco Giants56%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedHOUAway starterHunter BrownConfirmed
Model pickSFG moneyline56%Model 20260810_auto
SFGHome starterCarson WhisenhuntConfirmed
HOU44%ML -192
Base model probability56%Moneyline only
SFG56%ML +160
Projection Context
Projected margin0.4
Projected total8.9
Market total8.0
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Hunter BrownHOU starter / away
Projected K4.8Actual 4 K / Under 5.5
Best price at 5.55.5O -135 betmgm / U +125 draftkings7 books at this line
Model over 5.536%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.595%over
O 2.585%over
O 3.570%over
O 4.552%under
O 5.536%under
O 6.522%under
O 7.512%under
O 8.57%under
O 9.53%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.51%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 4 strikeouts.
Carson WhisenhuntSFG starter / home
Projected K4.0Actual 2 K / Under 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -113 draftkings / U -108 fanduel6 books at this line
Model over 3.556%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.590%over
O 2.575%under
O 3.556%under
O 4.538%under
O 5.522%under
O 6.512%under
O 7.56%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 2 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-192 / +160HOU / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (+100)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.0O -108 / U -112
31 books30 ML23 run line22 total