MLB / mlb / live
DET 2 / SFG 5DETDetroit Tigers46%
SFGSan Francisco Giants54%
at Oracle Park
Live MLB Moneyline
UpdatedDETAway starterKeider MonteroConfirmed
Model pickSFG moneyline54%Model 20260803_auto
SFGHome starterJT BrubakerConfirmed
DET46%ML -145
Base model probability54%Moneyline only
SFG54%ML +123
Projection Context
Projected margin0.2
Projected total9.0
Market total8.5
Total leanOver
Run-line and total models are projection context here, not ranked public picks. Edge and EV remain held for audit.
Pitcher Strikeout Forecast
Final / frozen pregame forecast / UpdatedMarket
Lines
Keider MonteroDET starter / away
Projected K3.4Actual 5 K / Over 3.5
Best price at 3.53.5O -135 betmgm / U +112 fanduel7 books at this line
Model over 3.544%
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.585%over
O 2.566%over
O 3.544%over
O 4.526%over
O 5.514%under
O 6.56%under
O 7.53%under
O 8.51%under
O 9.50%under
O 10.50%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 5 strikeouts.
JT BrubakerSFG starter / home
Projected K4.1Actual 1 K
Market line ยท pregameN/ANo two-sided pregame line
Model over lineN/A
Full strikeout line grid
O 1.591%under
O 2.577%under
O 3.558%under
O 4.540%under
O 5.524%under
O 6.513%under
O 7.57%under
O 8.53%under
O 9.51%under
O 10.51%under
O 11.50%under
Model probability per line, marked against the actual 1 strikeouts.
Model strikeout projections are forecasts, not picks. Market lines shown are the latest pregame snapshot, never live odds. Completed games show actual strikeouts for calibration only. See the full props board.
Odds & Market Context Closing odds
Market consensus-145 / +123DET / SFG moneyline
Run line context1.5 (-141)Home spread price shown for context
Total context8.5O -106 / U -115
32 books31 ML23 run line22 total